Segunda División · Regular Season - 7
MallorcavAlmeria
Mallorca
Almeria·
0 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Mallorca a 46% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 45% home · 28% draw · 26% away
Now: 46% home · 29% draw · 25% away
Moved −1pp — the market moved away from Almeria
Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Mallorca
Confirmed · 4-4-2
No reported absences.
Almeria
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
MallorcaWWDWL
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Real Sociedad II 1–0
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Sabadell 2–0
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Eldense 0–0
- Sun 30 Aug · H v AD Ceuta FC 3–0
- Mon 24 Aug · A v Granada CF 0–2
AlmeriaWWWLL
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Celta de Vigo II 2–0
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Cordoba 2–0
- Sun 6 Sep · H v Cadiz 3–2
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Sabadell 0–1
- Sun 23 Aug · A v Tenerife 0–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Mallorca have won 3 of their last 5.
- Mallorca have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 1 of Mallorca's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 0 of Mallorca's last 5.
- Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5.
- Almeria have won 3 of their last 5.
- Almeria have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 1 of Almeria's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 1 of Almeria's last 5.
- Almeria kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 4 prior meetings on record — thin sample.
In their last 4 meetings, Mallorca have won 1, Almeria 1, with 2 drawn.
- Mallorca W–D–L
- 1–2–1
- Over 2.5
- 2 of 4
- Both scored
- 1 of 4
- Mallorca 2–2 Almeria
- Almeria 0–0 Mallorca
- Almeria 3–0 Mallorca
- Mallorca 1–0 Almeria
7Context
Mallorca
Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d
Almeria
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca · Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for Mallorca vs Almeria?
- Mallorca line up in a 4-4-2, Almeria in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.
- What is the head-to-head record between Mallorca and Almeria?
- In their last 4 meetings, Mallorca have won 1, Almeria 1, with 2 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of those 4 meetings, and both teams scored in 1.