1. Lig · Regular Season - 13

Esenler EroksporvKeçiörengücü

·

3 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Esenler Erokspor a 51% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Esenler EroksporModel pendingMarket 51%
Esenler Erokspor:, no forecast published, market 51%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 46% home · 26% draw · 27% away

Now: 51% home · 25% draw · 24% away

Moved +5pp — the market moved towards Esenler Erokspor

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs51%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs24%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs56%
Under 2.5—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs79%
Under 1.5—vs21%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs33%
Under 3.5—vs67%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs58%
No—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Esenler Erokspor

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Keçiörengücü

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Esenler EroksporLWDWL

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v Batman Petrolspor 2–3
  • Mon 19 Oct · H v Mardin 1969 4–2
  • Thu 15 Oct · A v Manisa F.K. 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v İstanbulspor 1–0
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Fatih Karagümrük 0–2

KeçiörengücüLWDWD

  • Sun 25 Oct · H v Bursaspor 2–4
  • Mon 19 Oct · A v Fatih Karagümrük 2–1
  • Wed 14 Oct · H v Iğdır FK 0–0
  • Fri 9 Oct · A v Bodrum FK 2–0
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Sivasspor 1–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Esenler Erokspor
  • Esenler Erokspor have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Esenler Erokspor have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Esenler Erokspor's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Esenler Erokspor's last 5.
  • Esenler Erokspor kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Keçiörengücü
  • Keçiörengücü have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Keçiörengücü have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Keçiörengücü's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Keçiörengücü's last 5.
  • Keçiörengücü kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Esenler Erokspor

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Keçiörengücü

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Esenler Stadium, Istanbul · Referee: Omer Faruk Gultekin

8Red flags