Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

AustinvNashville SC

·

1 – 4 (90')

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Nashville SC a 50% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Nashville SCModel pendingMarket 50%
Nashville SC:, no forecast published, market 50%

2Market

Open: 25% home · 25% draw · 50% away

Now: 25% home · 25% draw · 50% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs25%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs56%
Under 2.5—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs80%
Under 1.5—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs33%
Under 3.5—vs67%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs58%
No—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Austin

Confirmed · 3-4-3

  • M. Uzuni — out (International duty)
  • Guilherme Biro — out (Yellow Cards)
  • P. Placheta — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • O. Wolff — out (Ankle Injury)
  • M. Desler — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • B. Hines-Ike — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Nelson — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • D. Pereira — out (Injury)
  • J. Rosales — out (Yellow Cards)

Nashville SC

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • P. Yazbek — out (International duty)
  • X. Valdez — out (International duty)
  • C. Applewhite — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • R. Baker-Whiting — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • E. Tagseth — out (Leg Injury)
  • S. Surridge — out (Back Injury)
  • W. Madrigal — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • B. Schwake — out (International duty)
  • A. Qasem — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

AustinDDWDD

  • Sun 27 Sep · H v San Diego 3–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v FC Dallas 0–0(xG 0.3–1.8)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1
  • Thu 10 Sep · H v Colorado Rapids 1–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v San Jose Earthquakes 1–1

Nashville SCWWDLD

  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Toronto FC 2–0
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Chicago Fire 3–0(xG 2.1–1.0)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Inter Miami 2–2
  • Wed 9 Sep · A v Toronto FC 1–2
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v New York City FC 0–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Austin
  • Austin have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Austin have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Austin's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Austin's last 5.
  • Austin kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Nashville SC
  • Nashville SC have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Nashville SC have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Nashville SC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Nashville SC's last 5.
  • Nashville SC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Austin

Rest: 14 days · 1 match in 14d

Nashville SC

Rest: 14 days · 1 match in 14d

Q2 Stadium, Austin · Referee: Ismail Elfath

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Austin vs Nashville SC?
Austin's reported absences and doubts include M. Uzuni, Guilherme Biro, P. Placheta, O. Wolff and 5 others. Nashville SC's include P. Yazbek, X. Valdez, C. Applewhite, R. Baker-Whiting and 5 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Austin vs Nashville SC?
Austin line up in a 3-4-3, Nashville SC in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.