Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Colorado RapidsvSan Jose Earthquakes

·

1 – 0 (45')

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Colorado Rapids a 50% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Colorado RapidsModel pendingMarket 50%
Colorado Rapids:, no forecast published, market 50%

2Market

Open: 50% home · 24% draw · 25% away

Now: 50% home · 25% draw · 25% away

Moved +1pp — the market moved towards the draw

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs50%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs25%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs60%
Under 2.5—vs40%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs83%
Under 1.5—vs17%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs37%
Under 3.5—vs63%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs63%
No—vs37%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Colorado Rapids

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • W. Frederick — out (International duty)
  • Y. Maziz — out (Injury)
  • R. Cannon — out (Yellow Cards)
  • M. Navarro — out (Injury)
  • J. Atencio — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Z. Steffen — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • J. Travis — out (Ankle Injury)
  • A. Fadal — out (Abdominal strain)
  • M. Diop — out (Knee Injury)
  • G. Minoungou — out (International duty)

San Jose Earthquakes

Confirmed · 5-3-2

  • R. Vieira — out (International duty)
  • P. Judd — out (Injury)
  • T. Werner — out (Injury)
  • D. Johnson — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • E. Edwards — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • N. Tsakiris — out (Groin Injury)
  • A. Gunn — out (International duty)
  • O. Bouda — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Colorado RapidsLDWDL

  • Sun 27 Sep · A v Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Seattle Sounders 3–3(xG 1.6–0.9)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v CF Montreal 1–0
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v Austin 1–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Columbus Crew 0–3

San Jose EarthquakesWDWWD

  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Portland Timbers 3–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 2–2(xG 1.1–0.4)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Houston Dynamo 1–0
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v San Diego 3–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Austin 1–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Colorado Rapids
  • Colorado Rapids have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Colorado Rapids have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Colorado Rapids's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Colorado Rapids's last 5.
  • Colorado Rapids kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes have won 3 of their last 5.
  • San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5.
  • San Jose Earthquakes kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Colorado Rapids

Rest: 14 days · 1 match in 14d

San Jose Earthquakes

Rest: 14 days · 1 match in 14d

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City · Referee: Filip Dujic

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Colorado Rapids's reported absences and doubts include W. Frederick, Y. Maziz, R. Cannon, M. Navarro and 6 others. San Jose Earthquakes's include R. Vieira, P. Judd, T. Werner, D. Johnson and 4 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Colorado Rapids line up in a 4-3-3, San Jose Earthquakes in a 5-3-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.