Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31

FC DallasvSan Jose Earthquakes

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3 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives FC Dallas a 53% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

FC DallasModel pendingMarket 53%
FC Dallas:, no forecast published, market 53%

2Market

Open: 53% home · 23% draw · 24% away

Now: 53% home · 23% draw · 24% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs53%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs24%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs66%
Under 2.5—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs86%
Under 1.5—vs14%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs44%
Under 3.5—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs66%
No—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

FC Dallas

Confirmed · 3-4-2-1

  • S. Moore — out (Yellow Cards)
  • S. Sarver — out (Red Card)
  • A. A. Julio Santos — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • L. Farrington — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • Ramiro — out (Yellow Cards)
  • P. Musa — out (International duty)
  • B. Kamungo — out (International duty)
  • O. Urhoghide — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Geovane Jesus — out (Knee Injury)
  • R. Binyamin — out (International duty)

San Jose Earthquakes

Confirmed · 3-4-2-1

  • T. Werner — out (Red Card)
  • N. Adimabua — out (Groin Injury)
  • P. Judd — out (Yellow Cards)
  • J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • N. Tsakiris — out (Upper-Body Injury)
  • B. Kikanovic — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • J. Skahan — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • R. Vieira — out (International duty)
  • E. Edwards — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • D. Johnson — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Gunn — out (International duty)
  • O. Bouda — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

FC DallasDWLWD

  • Sun 18 Oct · A v Houston Dynamo 2–2
  • Thu 15 Oct · H v Seattle Sounders 1–0
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Charlotte 2–3
  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 1–0
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Austin 0–0(xG 1.8–0.3)

San Jose EarthquakesDDDWD

  • Sun 18 Oct · H v Nashville SC 1–1
  • Thu 15 Oct · A v Real Salt Lake 1–1
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Colorado Rapids 1–1
  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Portland Timbers 3–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 2–2(xG 1.1–0.4)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

FC Dallas
  • FC Dallas have won 2 of their last 5.
  • FC Dallas have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of FC Dallas's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of FC Dallas's last 5.
  • FC Dallas kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 of their last 5.
  • San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5.
  • San Jose Earthquakes kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

FC Dallas W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas

7Context

FC Dallas

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

San Jose Earthquakes

Rest: 7 days · 3 matches in 14d

Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco · Referee: R. Vazquez

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
FC Dallas's reported absences and doubts include S. Moore, S. Sarver, A. A. Julio Santos, L. Farrington and 6 others. San Jose Earthquakes's include T. Werner, N. Adimabua, P. Judd, J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
FC Dallas line up in a 3-4-2-1, San Jose Earthquakes in a 3-4-2-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.