Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

Los Angeles GalaxyvSan Diego

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2 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Los Angeles Galaxy a 43% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Los Angeles GalaxyModel pendingMarket 43%
Los Angeles Galaxy:, no forecast published, market 43%

Matches we've forecast today

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2Market

Open: 43% home · 23% draw · 34% away

Now: 43% home · 23% draw · 34% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs43%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs73%
Under 2.5—vs27%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs90%
Under 1.5—vs10%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs51%
Under 3.5—vs49%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs73%
No—vs27%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Los Angeles Galaxy

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • S. Roberto — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • J. Paintsil — out (Thigh Injury)
  • E. Cerrillo — out (Yellow Cards)
  • J. Glesnes — out (Yellow Cards)
  • L. Sanabria — out (Yellow Cards)
  • C. Garces — out (Red Card)
  • E. Wynder — out (Injury)
  • E. Thommy — out (Injury)
  • Matheus Nascimento — out (Muscle Injury)
  • C. Rindov — out (Leg Injury)
  • H. Miller — out (International duty)
  • H. Lozano — out (International duty)

San Diego

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • dos Santos CJ — out (International duty)
  • S. Vines — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Mighten — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • Gabriel Pirani — out (Injury)
  • J. Tverskov — out (Red Card)
  • A. Pellegrino — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • L. Bombino — out (Red Card)
  • A. Reyes — out (Leg Injury)
  • W. Kumado — out (Leg Injury)
  • L. Morgan — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • P. Sisniega — out (Back Injury)
  • W. Eisner — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • O. Valakari — out (International duty)
  • E. Achouri — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Los Angeles GalaxyWLWWD

  • Thu 15 Oct · H v Portland Timbers 2–0
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v St. Louis City 2–6
  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Colorado Rapids 3–2
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Minnesota United FC 3–2(xG 1.6–1.9)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Seattle Sounders 1–1

San DiegoDLDDL

  • Thu 15 Oct · H v Houston Dynamo 3–3
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v New York Red Bulls 1–4
  • Sun 27 Sep · A v Austin 3–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Inter Miami 2–2(xG 1.8–1.5)
  • Mon 14 Sep · H v Philadelphia Union 0–5

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Los Angeles Galaxy
  • Los Angeles Galaxy have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Los Angeles Galaxy's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Los Angeles Galaxy's last 5.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
San Diego
  • San Diego have won 0 of their last 5.
  • San Diego have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 5 of San Diego's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of San Diego's last 5.
  • San Diego kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Los Angeles Galaxy W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • San Diego 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy

7Context

Los Angeles Galaxy

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

San Diego

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles · Referee: R. Vazquez

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego?
Los Angeles Galaxy's reported absences and doubts include S. Roberto, J. Paintsil, E. Cerrillo, J. Glesnes and 8 others. San Diego's include dos Santos CJ, S. Vines, A. Mighten, Gabriel Pirani and 10 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.