Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31

Portland TimbersvCharlotte

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3 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Portland Timbers a 50% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Portland TimbersModel pendingMarket 50%
Portland Timbers:, no forecast published, market 50%

2Market

Open: 49% home · 23% draw · 28% away

Now: 50% home · 22% draw · 28% away

Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Portland Timbers

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs50%
Draw—vs22%
Away—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs72%
Under 2.5—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs90%
Under 1.5—vs10%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs50%
Under 3.5—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs71%
No—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Portland Timbers

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • J. Fory — out (Concussion)
  • T. Muse — out (Concussion)
  • Antony — out (Knee Injury)
  • H. Sulte — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Bonetig — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • Z. McGraw — out (Back Injury)
  • O. Fernandez — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • D. Da Costa — out (Concussion)
  • V. Janssen — out (Red Card)
  • D. Chara — out (Thigh Injury)
  • J. Mosquera — out (Foot Injury)
  • J. Caicedo — out (Thigh Injury)
  • C. Bassett — out (Injury)
  • A. Aravena — out (Hip Injury)
  • J. Waterman — out (Yellow Cards)
  • F. Surman — out (Knee Injury)

Charlotte

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • T. Ream — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • W. Cleary — out (Illness)
  • B. Bronico — out (Groin Injury)
  • A. Doucoure — out (Inactive)
  • A. John — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • A. Goodwin — out (Foot Injury)
  • A. Johnson — out (International duty)
  • D. Schnegg — out (Yellow Cards)
  • A. Westwood — out (Red Card)
  • N. Berchimas — out (Foot Injury)
  • H. Kessler — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • I. Toklomati — out (International duty)
  • R. Aloko — out (International duty)
  • L. Abada — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Portland TimbersDLDLL

  • Sun 18 Oct · H v Colorado Rapids 0–0
  • Thu 15 Oct · A v Los Angeles Galaxy 0–2
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Sporting Kansas City 3–3
  • Sun 27 Sep · A v San Jose Earthquakes 1–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Atlanta United FC 0–1(xG 1.5–0.7)

CharlotteDLWLW

  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Philadelphia Union 2–2
  • Wed 14 Oct · A v Columbus Crew 1–3
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v FC Dallas 3–2
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v Chicago Fire 0–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v DC United 2–1(xG 0.9–2.9)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Portland Timbers
  • Portland Timbers have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Portland Timbers have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Portland Timbers's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Portland Timbers's last 5.
  • Portland Timbers kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Charlotte
  • Charlotte have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Charlotte have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Charlotte's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Charlotte's last 5.
  • Charlotte kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Portland Timbers

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Charlotte

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Providence Park, Portland · Referee: R. Mendoza

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Portland Timbers's reported absences and doubts include J. Fory, T. Muse, Antony, H. Sulte and 12 others. Charlotte's include T. Ream, W. Cleary, B. Bronico, A. Doucoure and 10 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Portland Timbers line up in a 4-3-3, Charlotte in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.