Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
San Jose EarthquakesvNashville SC
San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SC·
1 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Nashville SC a 50% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
Open: 26% home · 24% draw · 50% away
Now: 26% home · 24% draw · 50% away
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
San Jose Earthquakes
Lineup not yet confirmed
- R. Vieira — out (International duty)
- P. Judd — out (Injury)
- T. Werner — out (Injury)
- D. Johnson — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- E. Edwards — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- N. Tsakiris — out (Groin Injury)
- A. Gunn — out (International duty)
- O. Bouda — out (International duty)
Nashville SC
Lineup not yet confirmed
- P. Yazbek — out (International duty)
- X. Valdez — out (International duty)
- C. Applewhite — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- R. Baker-Whiting — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- E. Tagseth — out (Leg Injury)
- S. Surridge — out (Back Injury)
- W. Madrigal — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- B. Schwake — out (International duty)
- A. Qasem — out (International duty)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
San Jose EarthquakesDDWDW
- Thu 15 Oct · A v Real Salt Lake 1–1
- Sun 11 Oct · A v Colorado Rapids 1–1
- Sun 27 Sep · H v Portland Timbers 3–1
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 2–2(xG 1.1–0.4)
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Houston Dynamo 1–0
Nashville SCWWWWD
- Thu 15 Oct · H v Sporting Kansas City 4–0
- Sun 11 Oct · A v Austin 4–1
- Sun 27 Sep · H v Toronto FC 2–0
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Chicago Fire 3–0(xG 2.1–1.0)
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Inter Miami 2–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- San Jose Earthquakes have won 2 of their last 5.
- San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 2 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5.
- San Jose Earthquakes kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Nashville SC have won 4 of their last 5.
- Nashville SC have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Nashville SC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Nashville SC's last 5.
- Nashville SC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
San Jose Earthquakes
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
Nashville SC
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
Avaya Stadium, San Jose · Referee: Joseph Dickerson
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
- San Jose Earthquakes's reported absences and doubts include R. Vieira, P. Judd, T. Werner, D. Johnson and 4 others. Nashville SC's include P. Yazbek, X. Valdez, C. Applewhite, R. Baker-Whiting and 5 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.