Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

Seattle SoundersvCF Montreal

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1 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Seattle Sounders a 71% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Seattle SoundersModel pendingMarket 71%
Seattle Sounders:, no forecast published, market 71%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 71% home · 17% draw · 12% away

Now: 71% home · 17% draw · 12% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs71%
Draw—vs17%
Away—vs12%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs67%
Under 2.5—vs33%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs87%
Under 1.5—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs46%
Under 3.5—vs54%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs58%
No—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Seattle Sounders

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • P. Rothrock — out (Tendon Injury)
  • P. de La Vega — out (Calf Injury)
  • J. Ragen — out (Knee Injury)
  • C. Roldan — out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. Arriola — out (Calf Injury)
  • Y. Gomez Andrade — out (Muscle Injury)
  • H. Dotson — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Morris — out (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Roldan — out (Hip Injury)
  • Kim Kee-Hee — out (Muscle Injury)
  • S. Hawkins — out (Muscle Injury)

CF Montreal

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • G. Synchuk — out (International duty)
  • N. Streit — out (International duty)
  • V. Radojevic — out (International duty)
  • E. Morales — out (International duty)
  • W. Carmona — out (International duty)
  • T. Gillier — out (Upper-Body Injury)
  • B. Vera — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • B. Ceballos — out (Yellow Cards)
  • F. Herbers — out (Leg Injury)
  • B. Hidalgo — out (Groin Injury)
  • T. Aviles — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • S. Ibrahim — out (Back Injury)
  • F. Amaya — out (Lower-Body Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Seattle SoundersLWWWW

  • Thu 15 Oct · A v FC Dallas 0–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v New England Revolution 3–0
  • Fri 2 Oct · H v Sporting Kansas City 2–1
  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Minnesota United FC 3–1
  • Thu 24 Sep · H v Real Salt Lake 2–0(xG 0.9–0.4)

CF MontrealLLWLL

  • Wed 14 Oct · H v Atlanta United FC 0–3
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Toronto FC 1–2
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v FC Cincinnati 3–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Columbus Crew 0–2(xG 0.5–0.9)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Colorado Rapids 0–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Seattle Sounders
  • Seattle Sounders have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Seattle Sounders have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Seattle Sounders's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Seattle Sounders's last 5.
  • Seattle Sounders kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
CF Montreal
  • CF Montreal have won 1 of their last 5.
  • CF Montreal have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 3 of CF Montreal's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of CF Montreal's last 5.
  • CF Montreal kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Seattle Sounders

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

CF Montreal

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Lumen Field, Seattle · Referee: F. Bazakos

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Seattle Sounders's reported absences and doubts include P. Rothrock, P. de La Vega, J. Ragen, C. Roldan and 7 others. CF Montreal's include G. Synchuk, N. Streit, V. Radojevic, E. Morales and 9 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.