Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32

Seattle SoundersvHouston Dynamo

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0 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Seattle Sounders a 56% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Seattle SoundersModel pendingMarket 56%
Seattle Sounders:, no forecast published, market 56%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 55% home · 23% draw · 21% away

Now: 56% home · 23% draw · 21% away

Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Seattle Sounders

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs56%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs21%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs59%
Under 2.5—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs81%
Under 1.5—vs19%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs35%
Under 3.5—vs65%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs59%
No—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Seattle Sounders

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • Y. Gomez Andrade — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • H. Dotson — out (Yellow Cards)
  • P. Rothrock — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • J. Ferreira — out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. de La Vega — out (Calf Injury)
  • J. Ragen — out (Knee Injury)
  • C. Roldan — out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. Arriola — out (Calf Injury)
  • J. Morris — out (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Roldan — out (Hip Injury)
  • Kim Kee-Hee — out (Muscle Injury)
  • S. Hawkins — out (Muscle Injury)
  • D. Musovski — out (Head Injury)
  • S. Brunell — out (International duty)

Houston Dynamo

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • H. Herrera — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Resch — out (Yellow Cards)
  • J. Maurer — out (Back Injury)
  • Felipe Andrade — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • Lucas Halter — out (Yellow Cards)
  • Antonio Carlos — out (Knee Injury)
  • E. Sviatchenko — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • N. Quinones — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • Guilherme — out (Lower-Body Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Seattle SoundersDDLWW

  • Sun 25 Oct · A v San Diego 2–2
  • Sun 18 Oct · H v CF Montreal 1–1
  • Thu 15 Oct · A v FC Dallas 0–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v New England Revolution 3–0
  • Fri 2 Oct · H v Sporting Kansas City 2–1

Houston DynamoDDDDL

  • Sun 25 Oct · H v Minnesota United FC 0–0
  • Sun 18 Oct · H v FC Dallas 2–2
  • Thu 15 Oct · A v San Diego 3–3
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Minnesota United FC 2–2
  • Sun 27 Sep · H v Sporting Kansas City 0–2

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Seattle Sounders
  • Seattle Sounders have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Seattle Sounders have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Seattle Sounders's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Seattle Sounders's last 5.
  • Seattle Sounders kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Houston Dynamo
  • Houston Dynamo have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Houston Dynamo have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Houston Dynamo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Houston Dynamo's last 5.
  • Houston Dynamo kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Seattle Sounders W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
0 of 1
  • Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders

7Context

Seattle Sounders

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Houston Dynamo

Rest: 4 days · 3 matches in 14d

Lumen Field, Seattle · Referee: L. Hernandez

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Seattle Sounders's reported absences and doubts include Y. Gomez Andrade, H. Dotson, P. Rothrock, J. Ferreira and 10 others. Houston Dynamo's include H. Herrera, A. Resch, J. Maurer, Felipe Andrade and 5 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Seattle Sounders line up in a 4-2-3-1, Houston Dynamo in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.