League Two · Regular Season - 9
BarnetvYork
Barnet
York·
3 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- York38% · Match result
- Over 2.560% · Goals
- Yes60% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes York the most likely of the three results, at 38% (we would not be surprised by anything from 22% to 58%). Most likely is not likely: at 38% this result does not happen 62% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Tue 29 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 60%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Barnet
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
York
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
BarnetDLWWW
- Sat 24 Oct · H v Oldham 1–1
- Tue 20 Oct · H v Swindon Town 1–3
- Sat 17 Oct · A v Tranmere 2–1
- Sat 10 Oct · A v Bristol Rovers 3–1
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Fleetwood Town 3–1
YorkWDDDW
- Sat 24 Oct · H v Port Vale 2–0
- Tue 20 Oct · H v Accrington ST 1–1
- Sat 17 Oct · A v Newport County 1–1
- Sat 10 Oct · H v Northampton 1–1
- Sat 26 Sep · H v Gillingham 3–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Barnet have won 3 of their last 5.
- Barnet have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Barnet's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Barnet's last 5.
- Barnet kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- York have won 2 of their last 5.
- York have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 1 of York's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of York's last 5.
- York kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Barnet
Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d
York
Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d
The Hive Stadium, London · Referee: B. Toner
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Wide interval
The model's confidence interval is wide.
Common questions
- Who will win Barnet vs York?
- Our model makes York the most likely result at 38%. Most likely is not likely — at 38% it does not happen 62% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Barnet vs York?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 60%, and under 2.5 at 40%.
- Will both teams score in Barnet vs York?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance, against 40% that at least one side is kept out.