League Two · Regular Season - 8

TranmerevWalsall

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1 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Tranmere a 40% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

TranmereModel pendingMarket 40%
Tranmere:, no forecast published, market 40%

2Market

Open: 37% home · 29% draw · 34% away

Now: 40% home · 28% draw · 32% away

Moved +3pp — the market moved towards Tranmere

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 10 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs40%
Draw—vs28%
Away—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs52%
Under 2.5—vs48%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs78%
Under 1.5—vs22%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs29%
Under 3.5—vs71%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs58%
No—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Tranmere

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Walsall

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

TranmereDLWDD

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Exeter City 0–0
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Gillingham 0–2
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Oldham 2–0
  • Tue 1 Sep · H v Rotherham 2–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Newport County 2–2

WalsallWDDDW

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Port Vale 2–0
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Rochdale 0–0
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Exeter City 0–0
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Crewe 2–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Accrington ST 3–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Tranmere
  • Tranmere have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Tranmere have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Tranmere's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Tranmere's last 5.
  • Tranmere kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Walsall
  • Walsall have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Walsall have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Walsall's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Walsall's last 5.
  • Walsall kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Tranmere

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Walsall

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Prenton Park, Wirral

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Tranmere vs Walsall?
Tranmere line up in a 4-2-3-1, Walsall in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.