Premier League · Regular Season - 27
ChelseavBurnley
Chelsea
Burnley·
1 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 2.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Chelsea
Lineup not yet confirmed
- M. Caicedo — doubtful (Injury)
- M. Palestra — out (Injury)
- E. Fernandez — out (Coach's decision)
- E. Martinez — out (Finger Injury)
- M. Sarr — out (Transfer negotiations)
- J. Henderson — out (Wrist Injury)
- W. Fofana — out (Red Card)
- E. Emegha — out (Hamstring Injury)
- A. Anselmino — out (Inactive)
Burnley
Lineup not yet confirmed
- D. Satpaev — out (Hamstring Injury)
- L. Foster — out (Inactive)
- O. Sonne — doubtful (Inactive)
- Lucas Pires — out (Inactive)
- J. Laurent — out (Red Card)
- B. Humphreys — out (Inactive)
- J. Cullen — out (Knee Injury)
- J. Beyer — out (Hamstring Injury)
- A. Barnes — out (Injury)
- J. Banel — out (Injury)
- E. Agyei — out (Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
ChelseaDWWWW
- Tue 10 Feb · H v Leeds 2–2
- Sat 7 Feb · A v Wolves 3–1
- Sat 31 Jan · H v West Ham 3–2
- Sun 25 Jan · A v Crystal Palace 3–1
- Sat 17 Jan · H v Brentford 2–0
BurnleyWLLDD
- Wed 11 Feb · A v Crystal Palace 3–2
- Sat 7 Feb · H v West Ham 0–2
- Mon 2 Feb · A v Sunderland 0–3
- Sat 24 Jan · H v Tottenham 2–2
- Sat 17 Jan · A v Liverpool 1–1
5Trends
How each side has been going, and how these two have met — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter.
- Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5.
- Chelsea have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Chelsea's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Chelsea's last 5.
- Chelsea kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Burnley have won 1 of their last 5.
- Burnley have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 3 of Burnley's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Burnley's last 5.
- Burnley kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Head to head
- Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
- Chelsea have won 3, Burnley 0, with 2 drawn, in the last 5 meetings.
6Head-to-head
Only 5 prior meetings on record — thin sample.
7Context
Chelsea
Rest: 11 days · 2 matches in 14d
Burnley
Rest: 10 days · 2 matches in 14d
Stamford Bridge, London · Referee: L. Smith
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.