Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
10012026-09-04 01:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 48%our call landedwe called away 48% · away win007649435e6f…
9512026-09-04 00:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund30% / 22% / 48%our call landedwe called away 48% · away win3c6f2d94759e…
7352026-09-03 04:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund28% / 22% / 50%our call landedwe called away 50% · away win17ef595dbb2e…
5762026-09-02 12:071899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund28% / 22% / 50%our call landedwe called away 50% · away winb224ed8f4782…
5092026-09-01 18:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund28% / 22% / 50%our call landedwe called away 50% · away win9bc2aede328e…
4662026-09-01 12:051899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away winc52fc55c92b0…
4232026-09-01 11:051899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win622c39fd855d…
3802026-09-01 08:051899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win7d78581e57f6…
3372026-09-01 07:051899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win415b69840b4f…
2942026-08-31 09:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away windaa4b33613c4…
2462026-08-31 07:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win32982e019bc3…
1982026-08-31 06:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away wind2ddd11c97eb…
1502026-08-30 16:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away wined7d774c6d62…
902026-08-30 15:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win03d85b21fbc4…
302026-08-30 10:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win5630818a3297…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.