Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Barcelona v Racing Santander

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

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Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
17112026-09-13 01:06Barcelona vRacing Santander85% / 9% / 6%our call landedwe called home 85% · home winee2af6b3f8e7…
14562026-09-12 12:06Barcelona vRacing Santander76% / 15% / 9%our call landedwe called home 76% · home wina349888bcdec…
12692026-09-09 20:06Barcelona vRacing Santander76% / 15% / 9%our call landedwe called home 76% · home win7187433ca662…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.