Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

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Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
10022026-09-04 01:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin65% / 20% / 15%our call landedwe called home 65% · home winda77ea6001c9…
9522026-09-04 00:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin65% / 20% / 15%our call landedwe called home 65% · home win6b41f8984ed6…
7362026-09-03 04:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin67% / 20% / 13%our call landedwe called home 67% · home win6179b5deb020…
5772026-09-02 12:07Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin67% / 20% / 13%our call landedwe called home 67% · home win94f13970397b…
5102026-09-01 18:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin67% / 20% / 13%our call landedwe called home 67% · home win77bd21c9d1b1…
4672026-09-01 12:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home winb8eea9b79539…
4242026-09-01 11:05Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home winb3ae44f2bdf4…
3812026-09-01 08:05Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win5cece1f72bc8…
3382026-09-01 07:05Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win993dbb5ea34b…
2952026-08-31 09:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win79b4416d8d57…
2472026-08-31 07:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win0f738133ae7c…
1992026-08-31 06:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win77556b1ec2f6…
1512026-08-30 16:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home wine31b9b7dc8f9…
912026-08-30 15:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win76ac566bc076…
312026-08-30 10:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home wind8d5a4ff3d2d…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.