Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Cagliari v Lecce

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
11022026-09-04 03:06Cagliari vLecce43% / 31% / 27%our call landedwe called home 43% · home winb4d89ab0eb7c…
8272026-09-03 06:06Cagliari vLecce42% / 31% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home winf7011695e17b…
6682026-09-02 12:12Cagliari vLecce42% / 31% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home winee85fbb2ccb9…
5382026-09-01 18:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 31% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win3886536006a4…
4932026-09-01 12:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home winbb0b071174e2…
4502026-09-01 11:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home wincd3f7591b571…
4072026-09-01 08:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win7e5b975c07a3…
3642026-09-01 07:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win9ad8f6e7b73e…
3212026-08-31 09:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home winb6c4b3562cb7…
2732026-08-31 07:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home winab7c4b137b1c…
2252026-08-31 06:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win4775255de046…
1772026-08-30 16:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win12c04d718704…
1172026-08-30 15:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win0ed5c6bd781a…
572026-08-30 10:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home wind9dd92a01d71…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.