Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Elche v Real Sociedad

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
11062026-09-04 03:06Elche vReal Sociedad35% / 27% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win8415c02e6cca…
8312026-09-03 06:06Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win6e2f70a7f522…
6722026-09-02 12:12Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win7ab58e21990b…
5412026-09-01 18:07Elche vReal Sociedad35% / 28% / 37%our call landedwe called away 37% · away winb7f6025fbce4…
4962026-09-01 12:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win25d8a6d76299…
4532026-09-01 11:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win12f4b271bd53…
4102026-09-01 08:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away winb1755097c9e0…
3672026-09-01 07:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win6c5c1d4077c9…
3242026-08-31 09:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away winb3c753097588…
2762026-08-31 07:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win97f3b5d18687…
2282026-08-31 06:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win5024a81bc685…
1802026-08-30 16:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away wind1e181d44113…
1202026-08-30 15:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away wind3daeadb3430…
602026-08-30 10:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win895bddd25754…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.