Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Fiorentina v Torino

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
9982026-09-04 01:06Fiorentina vTorino48% / 27% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 48% · away wineb9f15fc08e5…
9482026-09-04 00:06Fiorentina vTorino48% / 27% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 48% · away win5e4308c42a6b…
7322026-09-03 04:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away wincbc470566631…
5732026-09-02 12:07Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away wind097a5b30654…
5062026-09-01 18:05Fiorentina vTorino48% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 48% · away wincf169553e7fa…
4632026-09-01 12:05Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win5dfa9f8405e3…
4202026-09-01 11:05Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win54c84814547a…
3772026-09-01 08:05Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win3810f3189274…
3342026-09-01 07:05Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win632b689a77b8…
2912026-08-31 09:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win93e56b2b2539…
2432026-08-31 07:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away winacff1c11d545…
1952026-08-31 06:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win5ba455595770…
1472026-08-30 16:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win76b894985f5b…
872026-08-30 15:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win71d8fd402aa6…
272026-08-30 10:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away wind674c74b7435…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.