Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Fulham v Crystal Palace

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
10042026-09-04 01:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 27% / 32%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away wine9616f5e350e…
9542026-09-04 00:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 27% / 32%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away winc20acfb96684…
7382026-09-03 04:06Fulham vCrystal Palace42% / 29% / 29%our call did not landwe called home 42% · away win8075333a1cc9…
5792026-09-02 12:07Fulham vCrystal Palace42% / 29% / 29%our call did not landwe called home 42% · away winefa66d5af852…
5122026-09-01 18:06Fulham vCrystal Palace43% / 29% / 28%our call did not landwe called home 43% · away winf7639f490cb3…
4692026-09-01 12:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away wina438df9fc2ff…
4262026-09-01 11:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away win037bb46f3353…
3832026-09-01 08:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away win244a189ba129…
3402026-09-01 07:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away wind7e21a20ab38…
2972026-08-31 09:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away wina0d6c4f70898…
2492026-08-31 07:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away winb0e3e7b8fb71…
2012026-08-31 06:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away win931dc320d182…
1532026-08-30 16:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away winf500e0467441…
932026-08-30 15:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away wine15bdae09567…
332026-08-30 10:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away wind7659c555611…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.