Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Genoa v Como

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
9852026-09-04 01:05Genoa vComo23% / 27% / 50%our call landedwe called away 50% · away win054f0a6e404f…
9352026-09-04 00:05Genoa vComo23% / 27% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away win43c0a1c6f940…
7202026-09-03 04:06Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away wine14a997d48ce…
5612026-09-02 12:06Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away winea35076dd644…
5012026-09-01 18:05Genoa vComo23% / 28% / 48%our call landedwe called away 48% · away winb0a2889e3aa2…
4582026-09-01 12:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away winbccd03382fd6…
4152026-09-01 11:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away wind84c341d3e91…
3722026-09-01 08:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win08349d29ffff…
3292026-09-01 07:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win5fe2558e38e9…
2862026-08-31 09:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win61afe00595e4…
2382026-08-31 07:06Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win00e1f266fee8…
1902026-08-31 06:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away wincfb2d3cf5bfb…
1422026-08-30 16:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win9b8be4ffd829…
822026-08-30 15:06Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win1e0b69b86d7f…
222026-08-30 10:06Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away win626aedb3e01e…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.