Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Ipswich v Liverpool

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
9872026-09-04 01:05Ipswich vLiverpool20% / 22% / 58%our call landedwe called away 58% · away win17bb181223ab…
9372026-09-04 00:06Ipswich vLiverpool20% / 22% / 58%our call landedwe called away 58% · away win1207365319bc…
7222026-09-03 04:06Ipswich vLiverpool17% / 20% / 63%our call landedwe called away 63% · away winb9f83af61d72…
5632026-09-02 12:06Ipswich vLiverpool17% / 20% / 63%our call landedwe called away 63% · away win4f297f2625e4…
5022026-09-01 18:05Ipswich vLiverpool18% / 20% / 62%our call landedwe called away 62% · away wind6fd95183610…
4592026-09-01 12:05Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away wind48899b7bf1b…
4162026-09-01 11:05Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away winb82a884a2526…
3732026-09-01 08:05Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away winef5baf9bc6d4…
3302026-09-01 07:05Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away wine836a3d8c551…
2872026-08-31 09:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away win4758843577a9…
2392026-08-31 07:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away win890fbb0d3fcb…
1912026-08-31 06:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away win9fa53f963f87…
1432026-08-30 16:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away winbb7f82e2940c…
832026-08-30 15:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away win6980d44525e8…
232026-08-30 10:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away win13130b384ced…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.