Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Lens v Lorient

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
10232026-09-04 01:06Lens vLorient63% / 21% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 63% · away win389e7de268a7…
9732026-09-04 00:06Lens vLorient62% / 21% / 17%our call did not landwe called home 62% · away wincccffeeeae8c…
7562026-09-03 04:07Lens vLorient61% / 23% / 17%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win2d23d83e206e…
5972026-09-02 12:08Lens vLorient61% / 23% / 17%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win000ed7250f83…
5182026-09-01 18:06Lens vLorient63% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 63% · away winfb390a8bda19…
4742026-09-01 12:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win7fd8851f47cc…
4312026-09-01 11:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away wina0310838a393…
3882026-09-01 08:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away winc8fcd91b8500…
3452026-09-01 07:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away winda557617b143…
3022026-08-31 09:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win6cf1cb83c9e8…
2542026-08-31 07:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win1d6711bbf14a…
2062026-08-31 06:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win028258eb3d48…
1582026-08-30 16:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win62e5433a8fb3…
982026-08-30 15:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away windac9179b7c34…
382026-08-30 10:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away winf24ff153ee57…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.