Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Lyon v Auxerre

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
9822026-09-04 01:05Lyon vAuxerre58% / 23% / 19%our call landedwe called home 58% · home winbfb27ed82887…
9322026-09-04 00:05Lyon vAuxerre57% / 24% / 19%our call landedwe called home 57% · home win8ab6b7404c81…
7172026-09-03 04:06Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win53dde54bf3e3…
5582026-09-02 12:06Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home wina6bd675e209e…
4992026-09-01 18:05Lyon vAuxerre57% / 24% / 19%our call landedwe called home 57% · home win4019ecbb01a5…
4562026-09-01 12:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win0b0afa7627e7…
4132026-09-01 11:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win527ae6cd5416…
3702026-09-01 08:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win05f5799b59a3…
3272026-09-01 07:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home winf27a93b0656f…
2842026-08-31 09:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win393da3f018e7…
2362026-08-31 07:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win86d6fd58825f…
1882026-08-31 06:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win95b17ab7b4ec…
1402026-08-30 16:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win93e00996671e…
802026-08-30 15:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win22cc4779a45f…
202026-08-30 10:06Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home wineeb22b8367e4…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.