Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Real Betis v Real Madrid

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

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Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
9882026-09-04 01:06Real Betis vReal Madrid29% / 25% / 46%our call did not landwe called away 46% · home winaf24f69ea06f…
9382026-09-04 00:06Real Betis vReal Madrid29% / 25% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win473bfadbbe39…
7232026-09-03 04:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home winadb491981fc2…
5642026-09-02 12:07Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win7add57a0241f…
5032026-09-01 18:05Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home windfae3b5f72cb…
4602026-09-01 12:05Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home winc00e25998dc2…
4172026-09-01 11:05Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home winc326d070136d…
3742026-09-01 08:05Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home winccefa1202e82…
3312026-09-01 07:05Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home winec3e4e2b016d…
2882026-08-31 09:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home winb69a991e21aa…
2402026-08-31 07:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home wine3aae723a8f8…
1922026-08-31 06:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win970375290ba6…
1442026-08-30 16:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win10b3d85ac746…
842026-08-30 15:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win4f73128f5367…
242026-08-30 10:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home wincede002c4f78…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.