Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for SC Paderborn 07 v SC Freiburg

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

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Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
10032026-09-04 01:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg37% / 34% / 28%our call did not landwe called home 37% · away win320aa5733e06…
9532026-09-04 00:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg38% / 35% / 27%our call did not landwe called home 38% · away wind3ce982e205f…
7372026-09-03 04:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win3e5b8557a7d9…
5782026-09-02 12:07SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win91398fa226fe…
5112026-09-01 18:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away win21fc606cdfeb…
4682026-09-01 12:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win8363255f5ffd…
4252026-09-01 11:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win263b6a7a332b…
3822026-09-01 08:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away winbf677fbcead2…
3392026-09-01 07:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away winefcdbf085815…
2962026-08-31 09:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away winaae5cc9a0f3d…
2482026-08-31 07:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win62f87046c694…
2002026-08-31 06:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away wina0d35d276f14…
1522026-08-30 16:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away winbed0cd51fdca…
922026-08-30 15:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away winc57f04c7f091…
322026-08-30 10:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win66b48ee6e479…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.