Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Toulouse v Lille

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
7142026-09-03 04:05Toulouse vLille32% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wina8dd18f415b2…
5552026-09-02 12:06Toulouse vLille32% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away winb3b0822eaa68…
4972026-09-01 18:05Toulouse vLille32% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away win0055f6f66c76…
4542026-09-01 12:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wina962b9f432b3…
4112026-09-01 11:05Toulouse vLille31% / 29% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away win6406d89df55a…
3682026-09-01 08:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wina6a333b9faba…
3252026-09-01 07:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away win7725c3285637…
2822026-08-31 09:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away win29ad5ec63be9…
2342026-08-31 07:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away winb6dbf0f9546a…
1862026-08-31 06:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wina1b42b168166…
1382026-08-30 16:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away win257868b2877c…
782026-08-30 15:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wincef7be0dd8d9…
182026-08-30 10:06Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away win1b6d3bf1d098…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.