Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Udinese v Lazio

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

← Back to the full record

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
11042026-09-04 03:06Udinese vLazio32% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wined4ad484846d…
8292026-09-03 06:06Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away win3f35322a454a…
6702026-09-02 12:12Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away win16729321ad94…
5402026-09-01 18:07Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away win0066ab91816c…
4952026-09-01 12:07Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away wina15c00441435…
4522026-09-01 11:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away winc4d74bdc03e7…
4092026-09-01 08:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away win0273a3599175…
3662026-09-01 07:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away win968f3c307f3e…
3232026-08-31 09:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away win482e753ecfe6…
2752026-08-31 07:07Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away win735d6867dbfd…
2272026-08-31 06:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away wine34edc6c564c…
1792026-08-30 16:07Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away wind9028db65a77…
1192026-08-30 15:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away win1cdea2ac54e0…
592026-08-30 10:07Udinese vLazio30% / 28% / 42%our call landedwe called away 42% · away win0970ec404604…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.