Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for Valencia v Barcelona

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

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Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
10792026-09-04 02:06Valencia vBarcelona21% / 23% / 56%our call landedwe called away 56% · away winf2cdff2c4c76…
8082026-09-03 05:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away win44af5c0addf5…
6492026-09-02 12:11Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away win515b583fc94a…
5292026-09-01 18:07Valencia vBarcelona18% / 22% / 60%our call landedwe called away 60% · away win3cc103d73666…
4842026-09-01 12:06Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away wina88d1aaa2536…
4412026-09-01 11:06Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away wina4ab27cf7445…
3982026-09-01 08:06Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away winf8a18432355c…
3552026-09-01 07:06Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away win686c8bda63ba…
3122026-08-31 09:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away wine087d87877ae…
2642026-08-31 07:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away wine4190821a82c…
2162026-08-31 06:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away win06623a0dede6…
1682026-08-30 16:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away wina326153164b2…
1082026-08-30 15:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away win7c8729f348e3…
482026-08-30 10:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away winae9197d810da…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.