Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

The published forecasts for VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC Köln

These are the forecasts we published for this fixture, hash-chained so a number we wrote before kick-off cannot be quietly changed afterwards.

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Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
9842026-09-04 01:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln60% / 21% / 19%our call landedwe called home 60% · home wine61f71d4c079…
9342026-09-04 00:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln60% / 21% / 19%our call landedwe called home 60% · home winf08b38318919…
7192026-09-03 04:06VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 17%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win62eac7a1e229…
5602026-09-02 12:06VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 17%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win429b0c96cd15…
5002026-09-01 18:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 20% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home winb12bd7e159e0…
4572026-09-01 12:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win71a65f039b45…
4142026-09-01 11:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win1403d8f450be…
3712026-09-01 08:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win721dfd41fac4…
3282026-09-01 07:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win5613ee526552…
2852026-08-31 09:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win48881e001849…
2372026-08-31 07:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win310e2fe16e30…
1892026-08-31 06:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home wind4ba8336f989…
1412026-08-30 16:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win3a30e1197164…
812026-08-30 15:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home wine24d39fe90fd…
212026-08-30 10:06VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home win9d084295c4d4…

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.