La Liga · Regular Season - 8

LevantevSevilla

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Sevilla a 36% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

SevillaModel pendingMarket 36%
Sevilla:, no forecast published, market 36%

Matches we've forecast today

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2Market

Open: 35% home · 29% draw · 36% away

Now: 35% home · 29% draw · 36% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs35%
Draw—vs29%
Away—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs47%
Under 2.5—vs53%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs72%
Under 1.5—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs26%
Under 3.5—vs74%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs53%
No—vs47%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Levante

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • H. Sotelo — out (Knee Injury)
  • K. Etta Eyong — out (Injury)
  • R. Brugue — out (Red Card)
  • A. Primo — out (Shoulder Injury)

Sevilla

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • R. Vargas — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • A. Sangante — out (Ankle Injury)
  • L. Stassin — out (Muscle Injury)
  • K. Salas — out (Red Card)
  • Oso — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • Marcao — out (Foot Injury)
  • A. Gonzalez — out (Muscle Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

LevanteLLDWD

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Villarreal 1–3
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Barcelona 2–4
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Malaga 0–0
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Real Betis 5–2(xG 3.0–2.0)
  • Mon 24 Aug · A v Osasuna 0–0(xG 1.3–0.7)

SevillaLWWDL

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Barcelona 1–3
  • Wed 16 Sep · A v Deportivo La Coruna 1–0
  • Fri 11 Sep · H v Valencia 1–0
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Espanyol 1–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Atletico Madrid 1–3(xG 1.0–0.9)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Levante
  • Levante have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Levante have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Levante's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Levante's last 5.
  • Levante kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Sevilla
  • Sevilla have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Sevilla have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Sevilla's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Sevilla's last 5.
  • Sevilla kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 4 prior meetings on record — thin sample.

In their last 4 meetings, Levante have won 2, Sevilla 2, with 0 drawn.

Levante W–D–L
2–0–2
Over 2.5
3 of 4
Both scored
2 of 4
  • Levante 2–0 Sevilla
  • Sevilla 0–3 Levante
  • Levante 2–3 Sevilla
  • Sevilla 5–3 Levante

7Context

Levante

Rest: 22 days · 0 matches in 14d

Sevilla

Rest: 23 days · 0 matches in 14d

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Levante vs Sevilla?
Levante's reported absences and doubts include H. Sotelo, K. Etta Eyong, R. Brugue, A. Primo. Sevilla's include R. Vargas, A. Sangante, L. Stassin, K. Salas and 3 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Sevilla?
In their last 4 meetings, Levante have won 2, Sevilla 2, with 0 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of those 4 meetings, and both teams scored in 2.