League One · Regular Season - 12

AFC WimbledonvMansfield Town

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0 – 3 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Mansfield Town a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Mansfield TownModel pendingMarket 44%
Mansfield Town:, no forecast published, market 44%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 29% home · 27% draw · 44% away

Now: 29% home · 27% draw · 44% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs52%
Under 2.5—vs48%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs76%
Under 1.5—vs24%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs30%
Under 3.5—vs70%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs58%
No—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

AFC Wimbledon

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Mansfield Town

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

AFC WimbledonLLDDW

  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Sheffield Wednesday 0–5
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Plymouth 1–2
  • Sat 26 Sep · A v Cambridge United 1–1
  • Thu 17 Sep · H v Milton Keynes Dons 0–0
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Doncaster 1–0

Mansfield TownDWDDL

  • Thu 15 Oct · H v Oxford United 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Bromley 2–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Burton Albion 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Huddersfield 0–0
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Bradford 0–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

AFC Wimbledon
  • AFC Wimbledon have won 1 of their last 5.
  • AFC Wimbledon have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 5.
  • AFC Wimbledon kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Mansfield Town
  • Mansfield Town have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Mansfield Town have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Mansfield Town's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Mansfield Town's last 5.
  • Mansfield Town kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

AFC Wimbledon

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Mansfield Town

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

8Red flags