Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11

Estudiantes L.P.vGimnasia M.

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Estudiantes L.P. a 56% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Estudiantes L.P.Model pendingMarket 56%
Estudiantes L.P.:, no forecast published, market 56%

2Market

Open: 56% home · 26% draw · 18% away

Now: 56% home · 26% draw · 18% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs56%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs18%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs43%
Under 2.5—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs70%
Under 1.5—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs21%
Under 3.5—vs79%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs45%
No—vs55%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Estudiantes L.P.

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Gimnasia M.

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Estudiantes L.P.LWLDL

  • Tue 22 Sep · A v Lanus 1–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Platense 2–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Velez Sarsfield 0–1
  • Mon 31 Aug · H v Newells Old Boys 0–0(xG 2.2–1.1)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Sarmiento Junin 0–2

Gimnasia M.DLDWW

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Deportivo Riestra 0–0(xG 0.8–0.4)
  • Fri 11 Sep · A v Defensa Y Justicia 0–2
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Boca Juniors 2–2
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Independiente 3–0(xG 0.7–0.9)
  • Sat 22 Aug · A v Gimnasia L.P. 3–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Estudiantes L.P.
  • Estudiantes L.P. have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Estudiantes L.P. have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5.
  • Estudiantes L.P. kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Gimnasia M.
  • Gimnasia M. have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Gimnasia M. have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Gimnasia M.'s last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Gimnasia M.'s last 5.
  • Gimnasia M. kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Estudiantes L.P. W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Gimnasia M. 1–2 Estudiantes L.P.

7Context

Estudiantes L.P.

Rest: 14 days · 1 match in 14d

Gimnasia M.

Rest: 16 days · 0 matches in 14d

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata

8Red flags