Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9

Defensa Y JusticiavGimnasia M.

·

2 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Defensa Y Justicia a 48% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Defensa Y JusticiaModel pendingMarket 48%
Defensa Y Justicia:, no forecast published, market 48%

2Market

Open: 45% home · 30% draw · 25% away

Now: 48% home · 27% draw · 25% away

Moved +3pp — the market moved towards Defensa Y Justicia

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 11 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs48%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs25%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs44%
Under 2.5—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs72%
Under 1.5—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs22%
Under 3.5—vs78%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs49%
No—vs51%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Defensa Y Justicia

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Gimnasia M.

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Defensa Y JusticiaLWWDW

  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Lanus 0–1
  • Mon 31 Aug · H v Platense 1–0(xG 1.1–0.5)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Belgrano Cordoba 2–1
  • Mon 17 Aug · A v Velez Sarsfield 1–1
  • Sun 9 Aug · H v Newells Old Boys 2–1

Gimnasia M.DWWWL

  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Boca Juniors 2–2
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Independiente 3–0(xG 0.7–0.9)
  • Sat 22 Aug · A v Gimnasia L.P. 3–2
  • Tue 18 Aug · H v Talleres Cordoba 3–1
  • Sun 9 Aug · A v Instituto Cordoba 0–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Defensa Y Justicia
  • Defensa Y Justicia have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Defensa Y Justicia have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Defensa Y Justicia's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Defensa Y Justicia's last 5.
  • Defensa Y Justicia kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Gimnasia M.
  • Gimnasia M. have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Gimnasia M. have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Gimnasia M.'s last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Gimnasia M.'s last 5.
  • Gimnasia M. kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Defensa Y Justicia W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Gimnasia M. 2–1 Defensa Y Justicia

7Context

Defensa Y Justicia

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Gimnasia M.

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa · Referee: Jorge Balino, Argentina

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.?
Defensa Y Justicia line up in a 4-2-3-1, Gimnasia M. in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.