Liga MX · Apertura - 13

CF PachucavCruz Azul

·

1 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Cruz Azul a 42% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Cruz AzulModel pendingMarket 42%
Cruz Azul:, no forecast published, market 42%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 32% home · 26% draw · 42% away

Now: 32% home · 26% draw · 42% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs32%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs59%
Under 2.5—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs83%
Under 1.5—vs17%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs38%
Under 3.5—vs62%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs63%
No—vs37%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

CF Pachuca

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Cruz Azul

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

CF PachucaLDLDW

  • Mon 19 Oct · A v Monterrey 1–2
  • Sun 11 Oct · H v Necaxa 3–3
  • Sun 27 Sep · A v Santos Laguna 0–1
  • Mon 21 Sep · H v Club Tijuana 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Atlante FC 3–0

Cruz AzulWDDLW

  • Sun 18 Oct · H v FC Juarez 5–0
  • Mon 12 Oct · A v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–3
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v Toluca 3–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Monterrey 0–1
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Club America 4–3

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

CF Pachuca
  • CF Pachuca have won 1 of their last 5.
  • CF Pachuca have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of CF Pachuca's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of CF Pachuca's last 5.
  • CF Pachuca kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Cruz Azul
  • Cruz Azul have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Cruz Azul have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Cruz Azul's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Cruz Azul's last 5.
  • Cruz Azul kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

CF Pachuca

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Cruz Azul

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto · Referee: Daniel Quintero Huitron

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
CF Pachuca line up in a 4-2-3-1, Cruz Azul in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.