Liga MX · Apertura - 13

PueblavMonterrey

·

1 – 4 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Monterrey a 52% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

MonterreyModel pendingMarket 52%
Monterrey:, no forecast published, market 52%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 23% home · 25% draw · 52% away

Now: 23% home · 25% draw · 52% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs23%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs52%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs54%
Under 2.5—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs79%
Under 1.5—vs21%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs32%
Under 3.5—vs68%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs56%
No—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Puebla

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Monterrey

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

PueblaDDLDL

  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Club Tijuana 0–0
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Leon 1–1
  • Sun 27 Sep · A v Tigres UANL 0–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Atlante FC 1–1
  • Wed 16 Sep · H v Toluca 0–1

MonterreyWDLWD

  • Mon 19 Oct · H v CF Pachuca 2–1
  • Sun 11 Oct · A v Club America 1–1
  • Sat 26 Sep · A v Atlante FC 2–4
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Cruz Azul 1–0
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Tigres UANL 0–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Puebla
  • Puebla have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Puebla have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 0 of Puebla's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Puebla's last 5.
  • Puebla kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Monterrey
  • Monterrey have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Monterrey have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Monterrey's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Monterrey's last 5.
  • Monterrey kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Puebla

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Monterrey

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Cuauhtemoc, Puebla · Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Puebla vs Monterrey?
Puebla line up in a 4-2-3-1, Monterrey in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.