Liga MX · Apertura - 13

TolucavClub Tijuana

·

2 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Toluca a 76% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

TolucaModel pendingMarket 76%
Toluca:, no forecast published, market 76%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 76% home · 15% draw · 9% away

Now: 76% home · 15% draw · 9% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs76%
Draw—vs15%
Away—vs9%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs71%
Under 2.5—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs90%
Under 1.5—vs10%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs48%
Under 3.5—vs52%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs56%
No—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Toluca

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Club Tijuana

Confirmed · 4-1-4-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

TolucaDLDLW

  • Sun 18 Oct · H v Atletico San Luis 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v Tigres UANL 2–3
  • Sat 26 Sep · A v Cruz Azul 3–3
  • Mon 21 Sep · H v Santos Laguna 2–3
  • Wed 16 Sep · A v Puebla 1–0

Club TijuanaDDLDL

  • Sat 17 Oct · H v Puebla 0–0
  • Sat 10 Oct · A v FC Juarez 1–1
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v Atlas 2–3
  • Mon 21 Sep · A v CF Pachuca 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Club Queretaro 0–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Toluca
  • Toluca have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Toluca have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Toluca's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Toluca's last 5.
  • Toluca kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Club Tijuana
  • Club Tijuana have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Club Tijuana have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Club Tijuana's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Club Tijuana's last 5.
  • Club Tijuana kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Toluca

Rest: 4 days · 2 matches in 14d

Club Tijuana

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca · Referee: Julio Gerardo Garcia Armenta

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Toluca line up in a 4-2-3-1, Club Tijuana in a 4-1-4-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.