La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Real MadridvVillarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal·
3 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 2.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 3.5
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Real Madrid
Lineup not yet confirmed
- R. Asencio — doubtful (Muscle Injury)
- A. Tchouameni — out (Muscle Injury)
- Endrick — out (Muscle Injury)
- Rodrygo — out (Knee Injury)
- T. Pitarch — out (Knee Injury)
- F. Mendy — out (Hip Injury)
- Eder Militao — out (Hamstring Injury)
Villarreal
Lineup not yet confirmed
- J. Foyth — out (Injury)
- W. Kambwala — out (Transfer negotiations)
- A. Diatta — out (Red Card)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Real MadridLWWWW
- Sat 27 Sep · A v Atletico Madrid 2–5
- Tue 23 Sep · A v Levante 4–1
- Sat 20 Sep · H v Espanyol 2–0
- Sat 13 Sep · A v Real Sociedad 2–1
- Sat 30 Aug · H v Mallorca 2–1
VillarrealWWWLD
- Sat 27 Sep · H v Athletic Club 1–0
- Tue 23 Sep · A v Sevilla 2–1
- Sat 20 Sep · H v Osasuna 2–1
- Sat 13 Sep · A v Atletico Madrid 0–2
- Sun 31 Aug · A v Celta Vigo 1–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5.
- Real Madrid have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Real Madrid's last 5.
- Real Madrid kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5.
- Villarreal have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 2 of Villarreal's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Villarreal's last 5.
- Villarreal kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
In their last 8 meetings, Real Madrid have won 3, Villarreal 2, with 3 drawn.
- Real Madrid W–D–L
- 3–3–2
- Over 2.5
- 5 of 8
- Both scored
- 5 of 8
- Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal
- Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal
- Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal
- Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid
- Villarreal 0–0 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal
7Context
Real Madrid
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Villarreal
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid · Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
8Red flags
No flags raised for this fixture right now.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
- Real Madrid's reported absences and doubts include R. Asencio, A. Tchouameni, Endrick, Rodrygo and 3 others. Villarreal's include J. Foyth, W. Kambwala, A. Diatta. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Villarreal?
- In their last 8 meetings, Real Madrid have won 3, Villarreal 2, with 3 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of those 8 meetings, and both teams scored in 5.