League Two · Regular Season - 12

RotherhamvNewport County

·

2 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Rotherham a 45% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

RotherhamModel pendingMarket 45%
Rotherham:, no forecast published, market 45%

Matches we've forecast today

Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:

View all today's forecasts →

2Market

Open: 45% home · 27% draw · 28% away

Now: 45% home · 27% draw · 28% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs45%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs49%
Under 2.5—vs51%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs74%
Under 1.5—vs26%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs27%
Under 3.5—vs73%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs55%
No—vs45%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Rotherham

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Newport County

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

RotherhamLLLDW

  • Sat 17 Oct · A v Fleetwood Town 0–2
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Gillingham 1–4
  • Sat 3 Oct · A v Exeter City 0–1
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v Crewe 1–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Northampton 1–0

Newport CountyDWDWD

  • Sat 17 Oct · H v York 1–1
  • Sat 10 Oct · H v Colchester 1–0
  • Sat 3 Oct · A v Gillingham 0–0
  • Sat 26 Sep · H v Grimsby 2–1
  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Accrington ST 0–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Rotherham
  • Rotherham have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Rotherham have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Rotherham's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Rotherham's last 5.
  • Rotherham kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Newport County
  • Newport County have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Newport County have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Newport County's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 5.
  • Newport County kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Rotherham

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

Newport County

Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d

New York Stadium, Rotherham · Referee: J. Callum

8Red flags