Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 10

AldosivivAtletico Tucuman

·

1 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Atletico Tucuman a 40% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Atletico TucumanModel pendingMarket 40%
Atletico Tucuman:, no forecast published, market 40%

2Market

Open: 29% home · 32% draw · 39% away

Now: 29% home · 32% draw · 40% away

Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Atletico Tucuman

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 7 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs32%
Away—vs40%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs35%
Under 2.5—vs65%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs62%
Under 1.5—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs15%
Under 3.5—vs85%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs43%
No—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Aldosivi

Confirmed · 4-1-2-1-2

No reported absences.

Atletico Tucuman

Confirmed · 4-1-4-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

AldosiviLWLLD

  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Independ. Rivadavia 3–4
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Banfield 3–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Argentinos JRS 1–2(xG 0.9–2.0)
  • Fri 21 Aug · H v Union Santa Fe 1–3
  • Sat 15 Aug · H v Tigre 0–0

Atletico TucumanLWDDW

  • Sat 12 Sep · H v River Plate 1–2
  • Mon 7 Sep · A v Racing Club 2–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Belgrano Cordoba 0–0(xG 0.7–0.5)
  • Sat 22 Aug · H v Instituto Cordoba 0–0
  • Mon 17 Aug · A v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Aldosivi
  • Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Aldosivi have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Aldosivi's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Aldosivi's last 5.
  • Aldosivi kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Atletico Tucuman
  • Atletico Tucuman have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Atletico Tucuman have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Atletico Tucuman's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Atletico Tucuman's last 5.
  • Atletico Tucuman kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Aldosivi W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Aldosivi

7Context

Aldosivi

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Atletico Tucuman

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata · Referee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman?
Aldosivi line up in a 4-1-2-1-2, Atletico Tucuman in a 4-1-4-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.