Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9
Atletico TucumanvRiver Plate
Atletico Tucuman
River Plate·
1 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives River Plate a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 24% home · 30% draw · 46% away
Now: 24% home · 32% draw · 44% away
Moved −2pp — the market moved away from River Plate
Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Atletico Tucuman
Confirmed · 4-1-4-1
No reported absences.
River Plate
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Atletico TucumanWDDWL
- Mon 7 Sep · A v Racing Club 2–1
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Belgrano Cordoba 0–0(xG 0.7–0.5)
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Instituto Cordoba 0–0
- Mon 17 Aug · A v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–0
- Sat 8 Aug · H v Sarmiento Junin 1–2
River PlateWWDWL
- Sun 6 Sep · H v Independ. Rivadavia 3–1
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Banfield 3–2(xG 3.3–1.2)
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Velez Sarsfield 2–2
- Sun 16 Aug · H v Argentinos JRS 2–0
- Sat 8 Aug · A v Tigre 0–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Atletico Tucuman have won 2 of their last 5.
- Atletico Tucuman have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Atletico Tucuman's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Atletico Tucuman's last 5.
- Atletico Tucuman kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- River Plate have won 3 of their last 5.
- River Plate have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of River Plate's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of River Plate's last 5.
- River Plate kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Atletico Tucuman W–D–L
- 1–0–0
- Over 2.5
- 0 of 1
- Both scored
- 0 of 1
- River Plate 0–1 Atletico Tucuman
7Context
Atletico Tucuman
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
River Plate
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman · Referee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
- Atletico Tucuman line up in a 4-1-4-1, River Plate in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.