Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 8
River PlatevIndepend. Rivadavia
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia·
3 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives River Plate a 56% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 55% home · 27% draw · 17% away
Now: 56% home · 27% draw · 17% away
Moved +1pp — the market moved towards River Plate
Solid: the market over 4 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
River Plate
Confirmed · 4-1-3-2
No reported absences.
Independ. Rivadavia
Confirmed · 4-3-1-2
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
River PlateWDWLL
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Banfield 3–2(xG 3.3–1.2)
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Velez Sarsfield 2–2
- Sun 16 Aug · H v Argentinos JRS 2–0
- Sat 8 Aug · A v Tigre 0–1
- Sun 2 Aug · H v Rosario Central 0–1
Independ. RivadaviaWDLWL
- Mon 31 Aug · H v Racing Club 3–1
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Independiente 0–0
- Sat 15 Aug · A v Belgrano Cordoba 0–2
- Sat 8 Aug · H v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1
- Mon 3 Aug · A v Sarmiento Junin 1–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- River Plate have won 2 of their last 5.
- River Plate have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of River Plate's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of River Plate's last 5.
- River Plate kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Independ. Rivadavia have won 2 of their last 5.
- Independ. Rivadavia have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 3 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 5.
- Independ. Rivadavia kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- River Plate W–D–L
- 0–1–0
- Over 2.5
- 0 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 River Plate
7Context
River Plate
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Independ. Rivadavia
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires · Referee: Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia?
- River Plate line up in a 4-1-3-2, Independ. Rivadavia in a 4-3-1-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.