Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9

Independ. RivadaviavAldosivi

·

4 – 3 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Independ. Rivadavia a 67% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Independ. RivadaviaModel pendingMarket 67%
Independ. Rivadavia:, no forecast published, market 67%

2Market

Open: 66% home · 22% draw · 11% away

Now: 67% home · 22% draw · 11% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 4 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs67%
Draw—vs22%
Away—vs11%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs45%
Under 2.5—vs55%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs72%
Under 1.5—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs23%
Under 3.5—vs77%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs41%
No—vs59%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Independ. Rivadavia

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Aldosivi

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Independ. RivadaviaLWDLW

  • Sun 6 Sep · A v River Plate 1–3
  • Mon 31 Aug · H v Racing Club 3–1
  • Sat 22 Aug · A v Independiente 0–0
  • Sat 15 Aug · A v Belgrano Cordoba 0–2
  • Sat 8 Aug · H v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1

AldosiviWLLDL

  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Banfield 3–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Argentinos JRS 1–2(xG 0.9–2.0)
  • Fri 21 Aug · H v Union Santa Fe 1–3
  • Sat 15 Aug · H v Tigre 0–0
  • Fri 7 Aug · A v Rosario Central 1–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Independ. Rivadavia
  • Independ. Rivadavia have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Independ. Rivadavia have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 5.
  • Independ. Rivadavia kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Aldosivi
  • Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Aldosivi have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Aldosivi's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Aldosivi's last 5.
  • Aldosivi kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Independ. Rivadavia W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Aldosivi 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia

7Context

Independ. Rivadavia

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Aldosivi

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza · Referee: Dario Herrera, Argentina

8Red flags