Liga MX · Apertura - 10

Club TijuanavAtlas

·

2 – 3 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Club Tijuana a 46% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Club TijuanaModel pendingMarket 46%
Club Tijuana:, no forecast published, market 46%

2Market

Open: 48% home · 27% draw · 25% away

Now: 46% home · 27% draw · 26% away

Moved −2pp — the market moved away from Club Tijuana

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 13 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs46%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs26%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs50%
Under 2.5—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs76%
Under 1.5—vs24%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs28%
Under 3.5—vs72%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs55%
No—vs45%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Club Tijuana

Confirmed · 4-1-4-1

No reported absences.

Atlas

Confirmed · 3-4-2-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Club TijuanaDLWLW

  • Mon 21 Sep · A v CF Pachuca 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Club Queretaro 0–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–0(xG 2.5–0.4)
  • Sat 22 Aug · A v Guadalajara Chivas 2–5
  • Mon 17 Aug · H v Cruz Azul 2–1

AtlasDLDLW

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Toluca 2–5
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Atlante FC 1–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Club Queretaro 1–3(xG 1.1–1.4)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Cruz Azul 2–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Club Tijuana
  • Club Tijuana have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Club Tijuana have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Club Tijuana's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Club Tijuana's last 5.
  • Club Tijuana kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Atlas
  • Atlas have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Atlas have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Atlas's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Atlas's last 5.
  • Atlas kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Club Tijuana

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Atlas

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Caliente, Tijuana · Referee: Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Club Tijuana line up in a 4-1-4-1, Atlas in a 3-4-2-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.