1. Lig · Regular Season - 8

Batman PetrolsporvBursaspor

·

1Headline

We expect

211.51.1 goals

Likeliest exact score 11 (13%), then 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Batman Petrolspor and Bursaspor finish on some other score 68% of the time. We show 21 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.

Probability of each scoreline, Batman Petrolspor goals down the side, Bursaspor across
Bat / Bur012345
077420.50.1
11013730.70.2
289520.50.1
345310.30.1
42210.40.10.0
50.50.60.30.10.00.0

Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, Batman Petrolspor down the side and Bursaspor across. These 99.4% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 0.6% is spread across higher scores.

Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.

How many goals

Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.

Over 1.5
Over 1.5:, our forecast 76%, no price captured yet
Over 2.5
Over 2.5:, our forecast 53%, no price captured yet
Over 3.5
Over 3.5:, our forecast 30%, no price captured yet

What we think

  • Batman Petrolspor47% · Match result
  • Over 2.553% · Goals
  • Yes56% · Both teams to score

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.

Our forecast makes Batman Petrolspor the most likely of the three results, at 47% (we would not be surprised by anything from 23% to 75%). Most likely is not likely: at 47% this result does not happen 53% of the time.

Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.

On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 53%, with no price captured for it yet.

No market data captured yet for this fixture.

2Market

No odds captured yet.

Match result

Home47%vs
Draw26%vs
Away27%vs

ours · market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.553%vs
Under 2.547%vs

ours · market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.576%vs
Under 1.524%vs

ours · market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.530%vs
Under 3.570%vs

ours · market

Both teams to score

Yes56%vs
No44%vs

ours · market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Batman Petrolspor

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Bursaspor

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Batman PetrolsporLWWWW

  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Bodrum FK 04
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Fatih Karagümrük 43
  • Wed 2 Sep · A v Vanspor FK 20
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Sivasspor 21
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Sarıyer 21

BursasporDWWWL

  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Esenler Erokspor 22
  • Mon 7 Sep · A v Manisa F.K. 21
  • Thu 3 Sep · H v İstanbulspor 40
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Kayserispor 21
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v Fatih Karagümrük 12

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Batman Petrolspor
  • Batman Petrolspor have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Batman Petrolspor have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Batman Petrolspor's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Batman Petrolspor's last 5.
  • Batman Petrolspor kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Bursaspor
  • Bursaspor have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Bursaspor have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Bursaspor's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Bursaspor's last 5.
  • Bursaspor kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Batman Petrolspor

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Bursaspor

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Venue unconfirmed

8Red flags

Common questions

Who will win Batman Petrolspor vs Bursaspor?
Our model makes Batman Petrolspor the most likely result at 47%. Most likely is not likely — at 47% it does not happen 53% of the time.
How many goals are expected in Batman Petrolspor vs Bursaspor?
Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 53%, and under 2.5 at 47%.
Will both teams score in Batman Petrolspor vs Bursaspor?
Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, against 44% that at least one side is kept out.