Matchday Briefing
What we think will happen in every match today, with how sure we are — and how often we have been right.
Today's matches
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23 matches
- PSTColchestervPort ValeLeague Twov1 noteexpect 1–0 (1.2–0.9 goals)Over 1.569% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.3 goals.
- CrewevBristol RoversLeague Twov1 noteexpect 1–0 (1.4–1.1 goals)Under 2.550% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.1 goals.
- Exeter CityvRotherhamLeague Twov1 noteexpect 1–0 (1.3–0.9 goals)Under 2.554% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 1.8 goals.
- WiganvMansfield TownLeague Onev1 noteexpect 1–0 (1.2–1.1 goals)Under 2.553% likely
- Burton AlbionvHuddersfieldLeague Onev1 noteexpect 1–2 (1.2–1.4 goals)Over 2.551% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.9 goals.
- PSTAFC WimbledonvStevenageLeague Onev1 noteexpect 0–1 (0.9–1.0 goals)Over 1.568% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.1 goals.
- PSTLutonvDoncasterLeague Onev1 noteexpect 2–1 (1.9–0.9 goals)Over 2.554% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.9 goals.
- Leyton OrientvPlymouthLeague Onev1 noteexpect 2–1 (1.5–1.5 goals)Over 2.559% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 3.4 goals.
- PartickvArbroathChampionshipv1 noteexpect 1–0 (1.4–0.7 goals)Over 1.570% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 1.6 goals.
- NorthamptonvOldhamLeague Twov2 notesexpect 0–1 (1.0–1.1 goals)Over 1.570% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.3 goals.
- RochdalevSwindon TownLeague Twov2 notesexpect 1–2 (1.2–1.6 goals)Over 2.554% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.8 goals.
- WalsallvCrawley TownLeague Twov2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.6–0.9 goals)Over 2.551% likely
- GillinghamvNewport CountyLeague Twov2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.4–1.1 goals)Over 2.550% likely
- Accrington STvCheltenhamLeague Twov2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.5–1.4 goals)Over 2.554% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 3.2 goals.
- GrimsbyvShrewsburyLeague Twov2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.8–0.8 goals)Over 2.552% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 2.8 goals.
- BarnetvYorkLeague Twov2 notesexpect 1–2 (1.6–1.6 goals)Over 2.560% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 3.4 goals.
- Salford CityvFleetwood TownLeague Twov2 notesexpect 1–0 (1.4–1.1 goals)Under 2.550% likely
- ReadingvBradfordLeague Onev2 notesexpect 1–0 (1.4–1.0 goals)Under 2.550% likely · pays 1.86
- PSTBarnsleyvMilton Keynes DonsLeague Onev2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.7–1.4 goals)Over 2.560% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 3.0 goals.
- PSTPeterboroughvNotts CountyLeague Onev2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.6–1.4 goals)Over 2.559% likely
- PSTBromleyvWycombeLeague Onev2 notesexpect 1–2 (1.3–1.6 goals)Over 2.554% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 3.9 goals.
- LivingstonvAyr UtdChampionshipv2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.8–0.9 goals)Over 2.553% likely
- MortonvRaith RoversChampionshipv2 notesexpect 1–2 (1.0–1.5 goals)Over 2.550% likely
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2 matches
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4 matches
- WaalwijkvEmmenEerste Divisiev2 notesexpect 2–1 (2.5–1.3 goals)Under 3.554% likely
- Almere City FCvFC VolendamEerste Divisiev2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.6–1.4 goals)Over 2.559% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 4.3 goals.
- Den BoschvDordrechtEerste Divisiev2 notesexpect 2–1 (1.7–1.4 goals)Over 2.560% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 4.2 goals.
- FC EindhovenvDe GraafschapEerste Divisiev2 notesexpect 1–2 (1.6–1.8 goals)Over 2.562% likelyLast 10 between them averaged 3.4 goals.
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Today’s bets
Nothing. Of 21 priced outcomes across today’s matches, none clears the bar we set for putting a recommendation in front of you.
Why that is the usual answer
We only recommend an outcome when our forecast would still beat the price at the unfavourable end of its own range — a probability we are confident about, not merely one that looks generous. Most days the market is priced about right and there is nothing to say.
We recommend; we never guarantee.
What the marks mean, and what the plus does
+Adds a call to your slip. Pick as many as you like, across as many matches, and we will say what the combination is actually worth — including the correction for legs on the same match, which cannot simply be multiplied together.
How much we know about a match yet: confirmed lineups, reported injuries, a settled price, and a forecast we are willing to publish. Four filled means everything we look at has landed. It is not how likely a bet is to win, and a match we know a lot about can still be one to leave alone.
- few meetings — These two have played each other too few times for their record against each other to tell you much.
- wide range — Our own range around this forecast is wide. The number is our best estimate, but we are not confident in it.