Championship · Regular Season - 10
BurnleyvCharlton
Burnley
Charlton·
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Burnley a 59% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 59% home · 23% draw · 17% away
Now: 59% home · 23% draw · 18% away
Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Charlton
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Burnley
Lineup not yet confirmed
- A. Ramsey — out (Hamstring Injury)
- H. Mejbri — out (Inactive)
- J. Bruun Larsen — out (Injury)
- D. Satpaev — out (Hamstring Injury)
- L. Foster — out (Inactive)
- O. Sonne — doubtful (Inactive)
- Lucas Pires — out (Inactive)
- J. Laurent — out (Red Card)
- B. Humphreys — out (Inactive)
- J. Cullen — out (Knee Injury)
- J. Beyer — out (Hamstring Injury)
- A. Barnes — out (Injury)
- J. Banel — out (Injury)
- E. Agyei — out (Injury)
Charlton
Lineup not yet confirmed
- N. Chalobah — out (Muscle Injury)
- B. Koumetio — out (Muscle Injury)
- C. Kelman — out (Shoulder Injury)
- J. Edwards — out (Ankle Injury)
- D. McNamara — out (Red Card)
- C. Sichenje — out (Knee Injury)
- W. Mannion — out (Shoulder Injury)
- M. Godden — out (Muscle Injury)
- R. Burke — out (Inactive)
- K. Ramsay — out (Ankle Injury)
- T. Ouma — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- M. Mbick — out (Knee Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
BurnleyDLDLD
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Derby 1–1
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Swansea 1–3
- Tue 8 Sep · A v Wrexham 1–1
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Bristol City 1–2
- Wed 2 Sep · H v Middlesbrough 1–1(xG 0.6–1.2)
CharltonLDDLD
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Cardiff 1–3
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Portsmouth 0–0
- Wed 9 Sep · H v QPR 0–0
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Stoke City 0–4
- Wed 2 Sep · A v West Brom 1–1(xG 0.4–0.6)
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Burnley have won 0 of their last 5.
- Burnley have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 2 of Burnley's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Burnley's last 5.
- Burnley kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Charlton have won 0 of their last 5.
- Charlton have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 2 of Charlton's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Charlton's last 5.
- Charlton kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Burnley
Rest: 24 days · 0 matches in 14d
Charlton
Rest: 24 days · 0 matches in 14d
Turf Moor, Burnley
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Burnley vs Charlton?
- Burnley's reported absences and doubts include A. Ramsey, H. Mejbri, J. Bruun Larsen, D. Satpaev and 10 others. Charlton's include N. Chalobah, B. Koumetio, C. Kelman, J. Edwards and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.