Super League 1 · Regular Season - 5
Volos NFCvAEK Athens FC
Volos NFC
AEK Athens FC·
1Headline
We expect
1–20.7–2.2 goals
Likeliest exact score 0–2 (13%), then 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (10%). Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC finish on some other score 65% of the time. We show 1–2 above because it is the likeliest score that agrees with what we call on this match.
| Vol / AEK | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, Volos NFC down the side and AEK Athens FC across. These 97.7% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 2.3% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- AEK Athens FC71% · Match result
- Over 2.554% · Goals
- Yes51% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes AEK Athens FC the most likely of the three results, at 71% (we would not be surprised by anything from 59% to 80%). Most likely is not likely: at 71% this result does not happen 29% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 54%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Volos NFC
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
AEK Athens FC
Lineup not yet confirmed
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Volos NFCLDDL
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Kalamata 1–3
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Iraklis 1908 1–1
- Sun 23 Aug · A v OFI 0–2
AEK Athens FCDWDW
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Asteras Tripolis 1–1
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Aris Thessalonikis 5–0
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Kifisia 1–1
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Iraklis 1908 4–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Volos NFC have won 0 of their last 4.
- Volos NFC have scored in 3 of their last 4.
- 1 of Volos NFC's last 4 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Volos NFC's last 4.
- Volos NFC kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 4.
- AEK Athens FC have won 2 of their last 4.
- AEK Athens FC have scored in 4 of their last 4.
- 2 of AEK Athens FC's last 4 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of AEK Athens FC's last 4.
- AEK Athens FC kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 4.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Volos NFC
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
AEK Athens FC
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos
8Red flags
Lineups pending
Lineups not yet confirmed.
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Wide interval
The model's confidence interval is wide.
Common questions
- Who will win Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC?
- Our model makes AEK Athens FC the most likely result at 71%. Most likely is not likely — at 71% it does not happen 29% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 54%, and under 2.5 at 46%.
- Will both teams score in Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance, against 49% that at least one side is kept out.