Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9
IndependientevSan Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo·
1 – 1 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Independiente a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 45% home · 32% draw · 24% away
Now: 44% home · 32% draw · 24% away
Solid: the market over 3 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Independiente
Confirmed · 4-3-3
No reported absences.
San Lorenzo
Confirmed · 3-4-1-2
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
IndependienteWLDWL
- Sun 6 Sep · A v Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–0
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Gimnasia M. 0–3(xG 0.9–0.7)
- Sat 22 Aug · H v Independ. Rivadavia 0–0
- Mon 17 Aug · A v Lanus 3–1
- Sun 9 Aug · H v Platense 0–1
San LorenzoWLDWL
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Talleres Cordoba 1–0
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Instituto Cordoba 0–1(xG 0.3–1.6)
- Fri 21 Aug · A v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–0
- Sat 15 Aug · H v Union Santa Fe 1–0
- Sun 9 Aug · H v Huracan 0–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Independiente have won 2 of their last 5.
- Independiente have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 2 of Independiente's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 1 of Independiente's last 5.
- Independiente kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- San Lorenzo have won 2 of their last 5.
- San Lorenzo have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 0 of San Lorenzo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 0 of San Lorenzo's last 5.
- San Lorenzo kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Independiente W–D–L
- 1–0–0
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- San Lorenzo 1–2 Independiente
7Context
Independiente
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
San Lorenzo
Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d
Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires · Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
- Independiente line up in a 4-3-3, San Lorenzo in a 3-4-1-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.