Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9

Sarmiento JuninvBelgrano Cordoba

·

1 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Belgrano Cordoba a 39% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Belgrano CordobaModel pendingMarket 39%
Belgrano Cordoba:, no forecast published, market 39%

2Market

Open: 29% home · 32% draw · 39% away

Now: 29% home · 32% draw · 39% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs32%
Away—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs36%
Under 2.5—vs64%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs64%
Under 1.5—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs16%
Under 3.5—vs84%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs45%
No—vs55%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Sarmiento Junin

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Belgrano Cordoba

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Sarmiento JuninWLWWW

  • Fri 4 Sep · A v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–0
  • Fri 28 Aug · A v Union Santa Fe 1–4(xG 0.5–1.3)
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Estudiantes L.P. 2–0
  • Sun 16 Aug · H v Huracan 2–0
  • Sat 8 Aug · A v Atletico Tucuman 2–1

Belgrano CordobaDDLWW

  • Fri 4 Sep · H v Huracan 1–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Atletico Tucuman 0–0(xG 0.5–0.7)
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Defensa Y Justicia 1–2
  • Sat 15 Aug · H v Independ. Rivadavia 2–0
  • Mon 10 Aug · A v Banfield 2–0

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Sarmiento Junin
  • Sarmiento Junin have won 4 of their last 5.
  • Sarmiento Junin have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Sarmiento Junin's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Sarmiento Junin's last 5.
  • Sarmiento Junin kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Belgrano Cordoba
  • Belgrano Cordoba have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Belgrano Cordoba have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Belgrano Cordoba's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Belgrano Cordoba's last 5.
  • Belgrano Cordoba kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Sarmiento Junin W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
0 of 1
  • Belgrano Cordoba 4–0 Sarmiento Junin

7Context

Sarmiento Junin

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Belgrano Cordoba

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Eva Perón, Junin · Referee: Felipe Viola, Argentina

8Red flags